• #119 Causal Inference, Fiction Writing and Career Changes, with Robert Kubinec

  • Nov 13 2024
  • Duração: 1 hora e 25 minutos
  • Podcast

#119 Causal Inference, Fiction Writing and Career Changes, with Robert Kubinec

  • Sumário

  • Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!

    • My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses
    • 1:1 Mentorship with me

    Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!

    Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)

    Takeaways:

    • Bob's research focuses on corruption and political economy.
    • Measuring corruption is challenging due to the unobservable nature of the behavior.
    • The challenge of studying corruption lies in obtaining honest data.
    • Innovative survey techniques, like randomized response, can help gather sensitive data.
    • Non-traditional backgrounds can enhance statistical research perspectives.
    • Bayesian methods are particularly useful for estimating latent variables.
    • Bayesian methods shine in situations with prior information.
    • Expert surveys can help estimate uncertain outcomes effectively.
    • Bob's novel, 'The Bayesian Hitman,' explores academia through a fictional lens.
    • Writing fiction can enhance academic writing skills and creativity.
    • The importance of community in statistics is emphasized, especially in the Stan community.
    • Real-time online surveys could revolutionize data collection in social science.

    Chapters:

    00:00 Introduction to Bayesian Statistics and Bob Kubinec

    06:01 Bob's Academic Journey and Research Focus

    12:40 Measuring Corruption: Challenges and Methods

    18:54 Transition from Government to Academia

    26:41 The Influence of Non-Traditional Backgrounds in Statistics

    34:51 Bayesian Methods in Political Science Research

    42:08 Bayesian Methods in COVID Measurement

    51:12 The Journey of Writing a Novel

    01:00:24 The Intersection of Fiction and Academia

    Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!

    Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, Colin Carroll, Nathaniel Burbank, Michael Osthege, Rémi Louf, Clive Edelsten, Henri Wallen, Hugo Botha, Vinh Nguyen, Marcin Elantkowski, Adam C. Smith, Will Kurt, Andrew Moskowitz, Hector Munoz, Marco Gorelli, Simon Kessell,...

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