• SI330: Yield Storm Ahead: Preparing for a New Era ft. Cem Karsan

  • Jan 11 2025
  • Duração: 1 hora e 1 minuto
  • Podcast

SI330: Yield Storm Ahead: Preparing for a New Era ft. Cem Karsan

  • Sumário

  • Together with Cem Karsan we take the pulse of the evolving landscape investors are faced with amidst rising interest rates and market volatility. A key takeaway is the recognition of structural changes in bond markets, with the potential for significantly higher yields impacting investment strategies. We explore the implications of current geopolitical dynamics, including Trump's perhaps surprising approach to China, his expansionary agenda and how it may shape market expectations moving forward. We also address the challenges of navigating a world where traditional hedging strategies in markets like fixed income are becoming increasingly difficult. With insights into market sentiment and potential counter-trend rallies, this episode provides a thought-provoking look at the complexities facing investors right now.

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    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:19 - What has caught our attention recently?

    06:39 - Industry performance update

    08:34 - Long term skew in vol markets is causing trouble

    13:41 - Approaching OPEX - what is in sight?

    21:28 - Does a strong S&P500 performance indicate an incoming crisis?

    24:08 - Are we approaching a counter trend rally?

    26:33 - It's getting hard to hedge

    35:16 - Investors are long without realizing it

    38:34 - We need a shadow Fed President

    43:23 - We are in a leadership vacuum

    47:58 - Early signs of improvement in China?

    55:31 -...

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