Episódios

  • ALO31: What If the Illiquidity Premium Was Never Real? ft. Richard Tomlinson
    Sep 17 2025

    Richard Tomlinson joins Alan Dunne for a conversation shaped by experience, not theory. As CIO of LPPI, Richard is responsible for £27 billion in pension assets - but what stands out here is the clarity with which he navigates complexity. From the fading utility of labels like “illiquidity premium” and “hedge fund” to the trade-offs between cost, alignment, and control, this episode is about building portfolios that work in the real world - not just in a model. They explore inflation’s structural drivers, the quiet rise of fiscal dominance, and why some of the industry’s most comfortable assumptions no longer hold. It’s not about being contrarian - it’s about being clear-eyed.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Richard on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:14 - Introduction to Richard Tomlinson

    07:07 - What makes Tomlinson and LPPI stand out from their peers?

    11:52 - Who are LPPI's clients?

    13:26 - The investment philosophy behind LPPI's work

    18:06 - How LPPI's allocators work together

    19:05 - Getting the allocation right

    21:29 - Are they worried about the decline of equities?

    23:37 - Tomlinson perspective on global macro

    26:55 - Public vs private markets

    29:05 - Their approach to allocating domestically

    31:15 - How their allocation is...

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    1 hora e 4 minutos
  • SI365: Design or Luck: Why Trend Following Results Diverge ft. Katy Kaminski
    Sep 13 2025

    Katy Kaminski returns to explore why results in trend following rarely look alike, even when the rules sound the same. Using fresh research from Man Group and Quantica, she and Niels trace the fingerprints of design choices: the pace of signals, how portfolios tilt, whether to add carry, and the impact of alternative markets. Along the way they connect these differences to today’s landscape, from the Fed’s looming decision to Europe’s bond jitters, from gas and power’s outsized role in recent Alternative CTA returns to the risks of crowding. It’s a clear-eyed discussion about how systematic strategies evolve - and why dispersion matters.

    Get Your FREE Copy of the latest Research Paper from DUNN Capital.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Katy on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:12 - What has caught our attention recently?

    06:44 - Industry performance update

    12:01 - How different can managers really be in the trend following space?

    22:30 - Is Andrew Beer onto something about the sharpe ratio of trend indices?

    24:26 - Why Katy and Alex are obsessed with return dispersion

    30:34 - What drives dispersion the most?

    32:41 - Designing a trend following benchmark

    35:46 - Quantifying turbulence in CTAs

    39:46 - The importance of simplicity as a CTA

    42:30...

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    56 minutos
  • GM87: Who Really Sets Policy Now? ft. Anna Wong
    Sep 10 2025

    Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist at Bloomberg, joins Alan Dunne with a clear-eyed assessment of where policy and politics are headed. As markets bet on cuts and the Fed talks balance, she sees a different risk: a slow-burning inflation that’s quietly taking hold. Anna breaks down why tariffs haven’t hit as expected, how AI is already reshaping the labor force, and what’s really driving service-sector price pressures. Beyond the data, the conversation turns to Fed culture, the limits of independence, and what a Trump-aligned central bank might mean in practice. Less about what’s forecast - more about what’s misunderstood.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Anna on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:18 - Introduction to Anna Wong

    03:57 - The current state of Fed

    06:35 - A potential flare up in inflation

    16:19 - Wong's read on the labour market

    22:50 - Fed's inflation argument makes no sense

    28:59 - The outlook of the housing market

    31:15 - Is AI destroying the labour market?

    34:20 - The future direction of the Fed and the potential candidates

    40:10 - The Fed is losing its balance

    48:43 - How increasing Trump representatives could impact the Fed

    51:58 - How monetary policy will unfold going forward

    54:43 - How we achieve a healthy level...

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    1 hora e 5 minutos
  • SI364: What makes an Alternative Investment Truly Valuable? ft. Moritz Seibert
    Sep 6 2025

    What makes an alternative investment truly valuable? In this episode, Moritz Siebert joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen for a conversation that moves past market moves and into the core design of systematic strategies. They explore what diversification really means, why manager size shapes more than just capacity, and how incentives - both fees and institutional expectations - quietly reshape the industry. From carbon markets and copper dislocations to volatility suppression and position sizing, this is an episode about alignment: between strategy and structure, manager and mandate, risk and resilience. At a time when most portfolios still rely on the familiar, this is a case for what’s missing.

    And you can get your free copy of the recent paper from DUNN Capital here!

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:34 - What has caught our attention recently?

    06:26 - Industry performance update

    13:20 - Building the perfect portfolio composition

    17:18 - Insights on carbon markets

    21:39 - Should we start to rethink how we approach markets?

    28:54 - Removing complexities from a trend system

    34:02 - The key aspects of designing a trend system

    47:27 - More diversified = more risk?

    49:00 - What is the most Valuable Alternative Investment?

    57:50 - Is trend...

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    1 hora e 12 minutos
  • IL41: They’re Not Just Reading You... They’re Rewriting You ft. Sandra Matz
    Sep 3 2025

    What if knowing you isn’t the end goal... but shaping you is? In this episode, Kevin Coldiron speaks with Columbia professor Sandra Matz about how algorithms trained on our clicks, searches, and faces don’t just predict our behavior - they influence it. They unpack how personalization narrows possibility, why convenience can come at the cost of resilience, and what happens when machines learn to mirror us better than we mirror each other. From the false promise of data consent to the quiet collapse of complexity, this is a conversation about power, psychology, and the systems quietly remaking the human experience.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.

    Follow Sandra on LinkedIn and read her book.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:13 - Introduction to Sandra Matz

    08:22 - How data is a window into our psychology

    12:13 - What is the "right" benchmark?

    14:12 - How algorithms learn to understand who you are

    19:11 - Do algorithms care about your feelings?

    22:16 - The "basic bitch" effect

    25:10 - Computers can learn your personality from a picture of your...

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    1 hora e 1 minuto
  • SI363: The Misreading of Trend ft. Nick Baltas
    Aug 30 2025

    As trend following begins to reassert itself, Niels and Nick Baltas dig beneath the surface of recent CTA performance - where the signals are working, why fixed income remains unresolved, and how speed is revealing deeper structural divides. But this episode goes beyond attribution. What if the industry has mistaken correlation shifts for changes in signal speed? What if the very idea of a “trend beta” is flawed? And what if compounding durable returns isn’t about chasing performance, but protecting against path? This is a conversation about design over style, clarity over convention, and the quiet decisions that shape real outcomes.

    -----

    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Nick on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:50 - Catching up

    05:02 - Industry performance update

    13:18 - How the speed of trend following strategies is changing

    24:13 - Is there a way to define speed differently?

    32:19 - Do we have the right definition of a trend index?

    38:20 - Brainstorming ideas on how to improve trend following benchmarks

    43:50 - The best car needs the best brakes

    49:26 - Baltas framework for enhancing trend following performance

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the...

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    1 hora
  • OI18: The Carbon Trade, Without the Illusion ft. Mike Azlen
    Aug 27 2025

    Mike Azlen joins Moritz Seibert for a frank look at carbon markets, and why much of what passes for climate action may be making things worse. While offsets dominate headlines, it's the regulated markets that deliver real emissions cuts by design, not intention. They unpack how cap-and-trade channels profit into abatement, why moral hazard plagues the voluntary space, and where long-only investors can find a real risk premium. From structural inefficiencies to measurable impact, this is a conversation about aligning incentives with outcomes - in a market where price isn’t just a signal, but a lever.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:14 - Introduction to Mike Azlen

    04:00 - What are Carbon Markets and how do they function?

    13:32 - How Carbon Markets work in different countries

    16:35 - The complexities of carbon offsets - viable or just a scam?

    21:58 - Is Carbon Capture a viable solution to the climate crisis?

    25:44 - Why is there a risk premium in compliance carbon markets?

    29:31 - The difference between spot and physical permits

    32:35 - Why is the funding premium so large in California?

    33:49 - The investment philosophy behind Carbon Cap Management

    36:56 - It's all in the EUAs

    40:50 - The positive impact of Carbon Cap Management

    45:39 - Wrapping up

    Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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    PLUS:...

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    48 minutos
  • SI362: The Alpha Most Systems Miss ft. Yoav Git
    Aug 23 2025

    Yoav Git and Alan Dunne sits down for a conversation that challenges familiar assumptions about curve trading, market structure, and the role of CTAs. They explore why dislocations across time horizons create pockets of alpha most models miss, and how breakout behavior in commodity spreads signals more than noise. Drawing on a recent Bank of England study, Yoav explains how different participants leave distinct footprints on the FX curve, and why CTAs, far from being passive allocators, can act as dynamic responders to changing regimes. This is systematic trading, without the shorthand.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Yoav on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:32 - What has caught our attention recently?

    07:10 - Industry performance update

    09:20 - Dont just trend it, curve it

    16:33 - The drivers of spread

    23:26 - Breaking markets into factors

    26:37 - Mastering speed in spread trades

    31:39 - Is there too much money in trend?

    36:47 - Key insights into FX trading

    44:23 - How dealers and market makers approach risk differently

    47:28 - The thought provoking fact about the top 5% dealers and market makers

    50:23 - The real process of an allocator

    56:39 - Using trend as part of a long term strategy

    01:01:35 - You should just go play...

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    1 hora e 8 minutos